The following videos will help get you ready for the new trading week. Be sure to like them and share them if you feel worthy. All support is appreciated. If you have any comments also add them to this post or to the videos. Have a safe and great weekend. EURUSD: On Friday, the EURUSD
Technical Analysis
WTI w 200dma The chart of WTI crude oil pretty much speaks for itself. Baker Hughes reported that US drillers cut rigs by 7 this week and with the inventory of drilled but uncompleted wells nearly zeroed out, there aren’t many taps to turn on. The message from the oil market is simply that $77
The EURGBP is major cross-currency pair that rose sharply this week. With the ECB meeting ahead next week, understanding the technical levels in play could open the door for trading opportunities. Technically as well, the market traders have used the technicals on the extremes to define support and resistance, and the correction off the high
The miss in the US CPI report triggered a heavy US Dollar selling across the board as the market started to see the end of the Fed tightening cycle. Moreover, the soft-landing narrative caused a strong positive risk sentiment in the markets as the labour market remains strong and the consumer sentiment keeps on rising.
The USDCAD spike higher, and in the process moved up to retest it at 200-hour moving average at 1.31917. Sellers leaned against that upper moving average level (green line in the chart below), and corrected the price modestly to the downside. If the buyers are to remain in control, getting back above both the 100
The AUDUSD is lower on the day and back below its 200-hour moving average for the 2nd time today. Earlier in the European session the price move below that moving average only to find support buyers near the high of a swing area between 0.6737 and 0.67546. The 50% midpoint of the move up from
In an early video on the GBPUSD , I spoke to the pair’s next target coming at the key 50% midpoint. More specifically, I wrote: “On the downside, the next key target comes against the 50% midpoint at 1.28658 (see chart below). The level also corresponds with a modest swing area going back to July
The price of WTI crude oil recovered to the upside today. The price of the futures settled at $75.75, up $1.60 or 2.16%. Technicals are playing a role in the price action. Crude oil trade between the 100 and 200 day moving averages Recall from last week, the price action was pushing against the 200-day
The Dow industrial average is working on a six-day winning streak. The NASDAQ and S&P have been up 5 of the last 6 days coming into today. All 3 indices are higher today with the Dell industrial average and the NASDAQ index now both up over 1%. The S&P is up 0.83%. Looking at the
The miss in the US CPI report last week has led to a broad US Dollar weakness as the market anticipated one last hike at the July FOMC meeting. The falling inflation, strong labour market and rising consumer sentiment have also strengthened the soft-landing narrative and caused a positive risk sentiment in the markets. Conversely,
The AUDUSD has a unique symmetry that has retracement levels of the sharp move lower in June equal to the retracement levels of the sharp move higher in July in the pair (you have to see it on the video to believe it). The AUDUSD pair did move up last week and tested the swing
The GBPUSD has moved sharply higher this week and in the process extended above a swing area near the 1.2950 to 1.3000 this week. The price also moved above a topside trendline near that area (see green number circles on the chart below). The run to the upside yesterday and today stalled right near the
The USDJPY moved to a new low going back to May 17 today, and in the process dipped below the 50% midpoint of the move up from the March 23 low at 137.355, and sniffed the 200-day moving average at 137.150. The low price reached 137.23 between those 2 key technical levels. The subsequent move
The USDCAD has bounced higher in trading today after reaching a new low going back to September 13. That low today tested a swing area between 1.3074 and 1.3083. The low price reached 1.3092 before bouncing higher. The rebound to the upside moved back above the 50% midpoint of the move down from the October
The AUDUSD is coming off of the boil that saw the price move sharply to the upside over the last few trading days. That move to the upside saw the pair test the 61.8% retracement of the 2023 trading range at 0.68899. The price also moved up to test the high price from June 2023
The The price of WTI crude futures is settling at $75.42. That’s it down $-1.47 or -1.91%. Although down nearly 2% today, the price this week is still up 2.09% helped by a more positive technical view. Crude oil stalled at the 200 day MA this week Looking at the daily chart, the price moved
The USDCHF broke sharply to the downside this week following the dollar’s move lower on the back of lower CPI and PPI. The prices of imports also came in lower with the YoY now down -6.1%. That sent yields lower and it pressured the USDCHF as well. Technically, the price fell below January 2021 at
EURUSD putting some room between price and 200W MA The EURUSD is running to the upside, making another new high for the year and high going back to March 2022. The high just reached 1.12085. In the process, the pair is running further away from its 200-week MA at 1.1180. There was another swing level
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