Technical Analysis

EURUSD moves below the 100 hour MA The EURUSD has moved to a new low for the day, and in the process, the price has moved below the 100-hour moving average 1.06748. Breaking below the 100-hour moving average will now set that level as a resistance level. The bias is now tilted more to the

US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US CPI last week came in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same. The labour market displayed signs

The FOMC is expected to keep rates unchanged tomorrow when they meet. As such, traders will be looking for clues for a more hawkish unchanged policy or a more dovish unchanged policy. There are a lot of balls in the air including sticky inflation, but core inflation is starting to calm down. Strikes are popping

US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US CPI last week came in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same. The labour market displayed signs

AUDUSD retests 100 hour moving average In a earlier post/video, I spoke to the 200 hour moving average and the 50% midpoint of the September trading range near the 0.6415 level as a key downside target that would need to be broken to increase the bearish bias. It was not broken. In fact they price

The uncertainty around inflation due to another increase in energy prices and the risk of a recession continue to keep Gold in a range. In fact, we saw a rally in Gold around the end of August as the US data started to surprise to the downside with the labour market indicators showing weakness, but

This week, the USDCHF has experienced an upward price movement, consistently remaining above the key swing area range of 0.89347 to 0.89472. The price surpassed this range in yesterday’s trading session and has maintained its position above this threshold today. Looking upwards, there’s a notable trend line at 0.8984, followed by a significant range between

The major US stock indices are trading at session lows as European traders start to look for the exits for the week. The NASDAQ index is now down around 1.3%. The S&P index is down -0.89%. All the major indices are back below its 50 day moving averages after closing above those moving averages yesterday.

The AUDUSD traded at the week’s low on Monday in the 1st hour of trading at 0.63706. The price moved sharply higher on that day, but by Wednesday, the price had rotated back down toward the lows into a swing area between 0.63791 and 0.63874. Support buyers came in against that level and pushed the

The EURJPY is trading in and up and down range over the last 5 – 6 weeks with most of the activity between 156.86 and 159.48. There have been a few wonders above and below that area, but those breaks were brief and did not gather much momentum. In trading today, the price has rebounded

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US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US CPI this week came in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same. The labour market displayed signs

Crude oil traded above $90 for the 1st time since November Crude oil prices have risen by $1.33, marking a 1.5% increase, and are currently trading at $89.85. Today’s peak reached $90.26, the first time it surpassed $90 since November 8, before retracting slightly. A few key observations from the daily chart: On September 1,

Yesterday, the US CPI report came basically in line with expectations as the market was already expecting higher energy prices to push up the August inflation readings. The Core measure, which is what the Fed is focused on, was in line with forecasts with the monthly figure just a touch higher than expected. The core

Ethereum keeps on falling and making new lows as the outlook is turning more and more bearish given the headwinds from global growth and tight monetary policies. All the positive news eventually gets faded, which is another sign that the big picture trend remains bearish. Amid this high uncertainty, the technicals can help with risk

Crude Oil keeps on surging to new highs as the supply side gets squeezed more amid resilient global demand. In fact, the OPEC continues to forecast robust growth for oil demand in 2023 and 2024 while keeping supplies tight as we saw last week with the Saudi Arabia and Russia extending the voluntary supply cuts.

US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data

US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data