US inflation data is due Wednesday, 10 August 2022 – preview

News

This earlier on dollar implications of the CPI from Morgan Stanley:

The data is due at 1230 GMT:

This
snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar,
access
it here
.

The
times in the left-most column are GMT.

The
numbers in the right-most column are the ‘prior’ (previous
month/quarter as the case may be) result. The number in the column
next to that, where is a number, is the consensus median expected.

Via BNZ, what to watch:

  • The consensus expects headline inflation of just 0.2% m/m, the lowest in 18-months, helped by lower gasoline and food prices.
  • But a core CPI measure of 0.5% m/m would remain too high for comfort.
  • A stronger result would increase the chance of another 75bps hike next month and boost the USD, while a very weak result would increase the chance of a shift down to 50bps and a weaker USD on the day.

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