Trading successfully needs to focus on risks and putting the odds of success in your favor. That can manifest in different ways but one way is recognizing a pattern by traders. When I look at the EURGBP, the pattern on the 4-hour chart is simple. In trading today: The 200-bar MA stalled the rally today
Technical Analysis
The USDCAD has broken above the swing area between 1.3615 and 1.3622 (see earlier video). Earlier today, the price extended above its 200-day moving average at 1.36012, and then based against the moving average before moving higher. The buyers continue to push and are now looking toward the high price from September which came in
Fundamental Overview Crude oil rallied strongly last week following the tensions in the Middle East between Israel and Iran. We also got some key technical breakouts that increased the bullish momentum. Last Friday, we also got a strong US NFP report which cast aside recessionary fears and strengthened the case for a future pick up
The RBNZ will meet next week and expectations are a 50 basis point cut (they meet on Wednesday in NZ). The fall today and the price below a swing area between 0.6167 and 0.61796. That area will now be close resistance. On the downside the 100 day moving average comes in at 0.6121. The 50%
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Navigating the Next Moves 🛢️📈 Hello traders and investors! This is Itai Levitan, an experienced market analyst at ForexLive.com, tracking crude oil for you today as well as what I am looking at. Let’s dive into the insights you need to make informed trading decisions. 🌊 Recent Rally Highlights 🚀 Strong
As we head into the close, the EURUSD is trading near lows for the week. The strong US jobs data today helped to push the pair below a swing area between 1.1001 and 1.1014, and also the 50% midpoint of the move up from the August 1 low at 1.0995. That area will now be
As the week comes to a close, the USDJPY is trading near the highs for the day and the week. The move to the upside today off the unexpected US jobs report, was able to take the price above a key swing area ceiling around the 147.33 level and also above the 38.2% retracement of
Fundamental Overview The JPY lost some more ground this week following Japan’s PM Ishiba’s comments on Wednesday as he delivered dovish remarks. As a reminder, the JPY got a boost last week when he was elected because he was viewed as a hawk and supportive for further rate hikes. It turned out that he’s the
The USDJPY is trading to a new high at 146.47. In doing so, the pair is up testing the high from last Friday at 146.465. Technically, a move above that high with momentum would have traders targeting the tabletop near 147.189 from September 2 and September 3 The move was largely driven earlier in the
The buying in the USDJPY has pushed the price through targets at 146.204 and 61.8% retracement of the move down from the August 16 high at 145.639 (see the earlier video on the USDJPY – GO to 4:08 on the video for the start of the analysis of the USDJPY). The price is approaching the
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Crude oil settled today just one cent lower at $68.17. The low price today reached $67.60. The high price reached $69.18. At session lows, the price stayed above a swing area going back to 2023 between $66.76 and $67.51. On both Thursday and Friday of last week, the price stalled within that area and bounced
The EURUSD up and down volatility continues. After trading near the 100-hour moving average (blue line in the chart below) in the Asian/Pacific session, the price moved sharply higher. In the process the pair moved above the swing level from Friday’s trade just above the 1.1200 level, but fell short of a high price from
Fundamental Overview The USDJPY pair this morning has been on a rollercoaster. Initially, we got a rally following the soft Tokyo CPI numbers and then Takaichi winning the first round of votes in the Japanese election. Things turned around quickly in the run-off as Ishiba won triggering a selloff in the pair. Takaichi was the
The JPY is the strongest and the GBP is the weakest as the NA session begins. The USD is mixed to modestly lower mainly because of the -1.02 decline in the JPY. The other changes vs the major currencies are showing modest changes on the day with the USD higher vs the EUR, GBP, CAD,
The US PCE data was lower than expectations and it helped to push the USD lower. For the EURUSD, the price has moved above a swing area between 1.1181 and 1.11897. The next targets are at 1.1200 and the high for the week at 1.12130. Getting above those levels will have traders targeting the 61.8%
The USDCHF is moved lower on the back of the PCE data today and that move has now taken the price of the USDCHF to 0.8400 target. Remember, that area is a low of an up-and-down trading range that has confined the pair going back to August 20. The high of the area comes in
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
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