Technical Analysis

The EURUSD is trading higher and is approaching key resistance near 1.0871 to open 08746. Within that area is the 100 hour moving average at 1.0871 61.8% retracement of 1.08746 200 day moving average at 1.0872 The high price yesterday reached 1.0873. The area is key for both buyers and sellers. A move above, gives

There are some small wins for seller in the USDJPY from a technical perspective: The price stalled ahead of a topside trend line yesterday on the hourly chart (see chart above) . The inability to get to the level is a small negative. The price fell below an upward-sloping trend line on the hourly chart

The EURUSD has been trending to the downside recently, and in the process has extended toward August low levels. My most recent technical videos on the pair, have been focused on the 4-hour chart as the market trended lower. If you watch the kickstart video from earlier today I also spoke to the 200-day moving

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar has been gaining ground across the board this week despite the lack of economic data and lower Treasury yields, essentially moving forward by inertia. Stanley Druckenmiller said in an interview yesterday that the market is already positioning for a Trump victory given the moves in some stocks like DJT for

The ECB meets tomorrow with expectations of a 25 basis point cut. Going into that decision, the EURUSD is moving to its lowest level since August 2. In addition, technically the price just broke below its 200-day moving average at 1.08728. The current price trades at 1.08660. Sellers are making a play below that 200-day

The Dow Jones Futures have been trading within a well-established upward price channel since October 2022, with clear instances of both resistance and support interactions within the channel. Dow Jones futures – important potential sell zone to watch Key Highlights of the Dow Jones futures chart below: Price Channel Overview: The price has respected the

Fundamental Overview The bullish momentum in the US Dollar seems to be waning despite the recent higher-than-expected US CPI and PPI reports. One caveat is that the market has now priced out the aggressive rate cuts expectations and it’s almost perfectly in line with the Fed’s projections. Therefore, we will likely need more strong US

Fundamental Overview The bullish momentum in the US Dollar seems to be waning despite the recent higher-than-expected US CPI and PPI reports. One caveat is that the market has now priced out the aggressive rate cuts expectations and it’s almost perfectly in line with the Fed’s projections. Therefore, we will likely need more strong US

The US PPI data came out and showed the YoY higher than expectations (but the headline was lower than the revised higher level), but the MoM data was more tame. The short end of the yield curve is a little lower. The long end, not so much. The US stocks are steady but lower on

A week ago today, the USDCHF made a break to the upside and out of the “Red Box” that had confined the pair going back to August 20. The US jobs report was the catalyst for the move higher, but by Monday, the price fell back to the high of that “red box” and even

The USDCAD has been trending to the upside since bottoming on October 2 near 1.3472. The momentum over the last eight trading days has taken the price up to a high of 1.37826. That took the price to the low of the next swing area target between 1.3784 and 1.38036 (going back to April 2024

The AUDUSD moved lower a week ago on the stronger-than-expected US jobs report. However, the price remained above its 200 bar moving average on the 4-hour chart (green line on the chart below). It wasn’t until Monday that the price broke below that level (currently at 0.6779) and ran lower. The low price initially stalled

The NZDUSD traded above and below the 100-day MA this week but above the 200-day MA (green line) into the mid-week RBNZ rate decision. The central bank cut rates by 50 basis points and that sent the pair below the 61.8% but buyers came in against the 61.8% retracement. The subsequent bounce off the low

If you are confused about the price action, you are not alone. However, technicals often tell the story of the price action, and if you can think of the price action as the dilemma buyers and sellers are facing, that story becomes more clear. IN the NZDUSD, we know the 61.8% was support. I talked

Yields in the US have moved higher with the 10-year yield now up 2.8 basis points and the 2-year yield up 3.2 basis points. In addition, the chance of no change in policy in November reached close to 25% today before rotating back down to 20%. It wasn’t long ago that the market was pricing

Fundamental Overview The USD rallied across the board last Friday following the hot US NFP report. The market priced out all the aggressive rate cuts expectations and it’s now finally in line with the Fed’s projections. The focus remains on the economic data. The next key event to watch will be the US CPI report

Trading successfully needs to focus on risks and putting the odds of success in your favor. That can manifest in different ways but one way is recognizing a pattern by traders. When I look at the EURGBP, the pattern on the 4-hour chart is simple. In trading today: The 200-bar MA stalled the rally today

The USDCAD has broken above the swing area between 1.3615 and 1.3622 (see earlier video). Earlier today, the price extended above its 200-day moving average at 1.36012, and then based against the moving average before moving higher. The buyers continue to push and are now looking toward the high price from September which came in