Technical Analysis

The USDCAD sellers had a shot earlier this week with breaks outside an up-and-down “Red Box” to the downside. The first move was on Monday. The 2nd on Tuesday. Each failed on the break The sellers had their shot. They missed. The price rise saw the pair’s price move above the 100 and 200 hour

Fundamental Overview The USD got a boost recently from another set of hot data as the US Job Openings surprised to the upside and the prices paid index in the ISM Services PMI jumped to the highest level since 2023. The market’s pricing didn’t change much though and Fed’s Waller yesterday kept the rate cuts

The EURGBP has seen a run higher despite a sharp rise in the UK 10 year yield which saw the yield move to the highest level since 2008. The yield reached 4.821% today rising above the 2023 high of 4.755% in the process. The yield is currently at 4.813%. Although higher yield can be supportive

Fundamental Overview The USD got a boost yesterday from another set of hot data as the US Job Openings surprised to the upside and the prices paid index in the ISM Services PMI jumped to the highest level since 2023. The market’s pricing didn’t change much but traders no longer fully price in the next

The AUDUSD bottomed for 2024 on the very last day of the trading year (which is unique). The price bounced higher off that low and in doing so was able to extend above a swing area off the daily chart between 0.6269 to 0.6282. See the red numbered circles on the chart below. The AUD/USD

Fundamental Overview The USD continues to remain supported since the last FOMC decision as the market perceived it as more hawkish than expected. After the rally during the low volume Christmas holidays, we are now seeing a pullback pretty much across the board. The market’s pricing didn’t change much with roughly two rate cuts priced

Crude oil futures are settling at $73.56 which is down -$0.40 or -0.54%. The high price today reached $74.96. That high was within shouting distance of the falling 200-day moving average is $75.34 ($0.38). The price has not traded above the 200-day average since October 8 (the break above that MA failed on that day).

Fundamental Overview Despite the spike lower triggered by the last FOMC decision, gold didn’t extend the fall and remained confined in the range between the 2600 support and the 2721 resistance. The FOMC decision was perceived as more hawkish than expected but apart from some slight tweaks, the Fed just met the market’s pricing. The

The USDCHF is lower on the day and testing a swing area going back to April and June 2024 between 0.9086 and 0.90978. If the sellers are to keep pushing, getting and staying below the high of that swing area (up to 0.9100 level) is required. On the downside, the rising 100-hour moving average comes

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The Nasdaq indices run to the upside is continuing with the price currently up 279 points or 1.45% at 19558.42. The high price reached 19560.11. Looking at the hourly chart above, the price is also approaching its 200-hour moving average at 19571.58. The price fell below that moving average on December 30 and reached a

Major US indices are closing solidly higher and in doing so are snapping multi-day losing streaks. For the Dow Industrial average it snapped its 4-day losing streak. For the broader S&P and NASDAQ indices,. they both snapped 5-day losing streaks. For the trading week, the indices are closing lower. A snapshot of the closing levels

Crude oil futures are selling and $73.96 up $0.83 or 1.13%. The settlement price is the highest since October 11. Cold weather, and Chinese policy support are being cited as reasons for the rise today and for the trading week. This week the price has risen by $4.13 or 5.5%. Looking at the daily chart,

The EURUSD is trading the key technical levels to start the trading week. The initial move in the early European session saw the price moved down to test its 100 hour moving average (blue line on the hourly chart above). Buyers leaned against the level and pushed the price back higher. Recall, the 100 hour

The USDJPY is trading in a modest range today at 59 pips vs the 22 day average (about a month of trading) at 139 pips. The price high came in at 158.064. That was just short of the high price from last week at 158.080. Sellers leaned and pushed the price mostly lower. The low

The GBPUSD moved higher into the US open, but has since reversed lower on risk-off flows (?). Stock in the US are getting hammered in pre-market trading. Admittedly, the declines are not being pushed by any news, except Friday was soft and today, the selling is continuing. Looking at the GBPUSD, the price moved up

SPX outlook: critical levels to watch for traders and investors The SPX price index is navigating a crucial technical landscape, with several key levels and indicators shaping its trajectory. A closer look reveals resistance at 6,200, support near the anchored VWAP, and the unclosed Trump Gap at 5,780, offering actionable insights for traders and in

The USD/JPY is trading at a new high for the day, reaching last week’s peak of 157.918—the highest level since July 18. The day began near session lows at 157.122 but saw an acceleration during the early U.S. session, coinciding with the opening of the U.S. debt market. U.S. Treasury yields are also moving higher,