Technical Analysis

The NZDUSD fell sharply yesterday and in the process tested the 50% midpoint of the move up from the April low and also a trendline support level on the 4-hour chart. The subsequent bounce off of the USD selling has in the price extend above the 100 day moving average at 0.60629, 200 day moving

The EURUSD moved lower in the US session and in the process moved down to test the 50% midpoint of the trading range since the December 2023 high. That level comes in at 1.08695. The current price is at 1.0888. The bounce off that support target is a key bounce and bullish signal. Going back

The Canada CPI came in weaker than expectations. The US retail sales was stronger. That should have sent the USDCAD higher and it did but after moving briefly above 1.3700, the price has rotated back down toward the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 1.3683. That level will be a close risk level

The USDJPY fumbled up and down in most of the US session, but a crack lower was strong enough to fall below the double-bottom and 61.8% of the move up from the June low near 157.364. The low-price extended down to 157.15 which was the same low going back to June 17 when the price

The USDCHF moved higher in the Asian session on the buying after the weekend assassination attempt. However, after testing a cluster of moving averages, buyers turned to sellers and has now pushed the price all the way down to new session lows, has breached below the 50% midpoint of the move up from the June

If there is someone on CNBC, that I like, it is Josh Brown from Ritholz Wealth Management. He does his homework. He is not opposed to using technicals (in fact he often relies on it). He accepts defeat. He lets his wins run. He is not perfect of course, but he makes a lot of

The US stocks are trading near highs after some declines yesterday. The correction was one day – at least for the S&P and the Nasdaq. The Dow industrial Average rose yesterday as did the small-cap Russell 2000. Today, all the major indices are enjoying strong gains. For the S&P, it erased its -49.37 or -0.88%

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

Crude oil futures are settling the day at $82.21. That is down $0.41 or -0.50%. For the trading week, the price is down -1.21% after closing last week at $83.16. The decline is the first after four consecutive weeks of gains which took the price up from a low during the week of June 3

The 2-10 year spread has not been positive since July 2022. The most recent high close (most narrow negative spread) is coming near -16 basis point. Today the spread rose to -27.3 basis point which would be its highest close since January 29. Since June 25, the spread has moved from -50 basis points to

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

The USDCAD moved lower on the USD selling immediately after the US CPI data. However the fall in the pair extended down toward key support near the 200 day moving average at 1.3595 and the 38.2% retracement of the range since the December 2023 low at 1.35899. That 38.2% retracement level has stalled the fall

The US CPI data sent the USDJPY (and other JPY pairs) sharply lower. The decline was overdue as the price has extended to 1987 levels on the run higher. Nevertheless, it was a sharp 400 PIP move to the downside. Now what? When you have a sharp move like we saw today, traders who could

The past few days I’ve been posting about the trending GBPJPY. The pair has been trending since it’s most recent swing low back on June 14. Initially, the price needed to get back above its 100 and 200 hour moving averages. Then it needed to stay above those moving averages, and it has (see point

In the kickstart video for July 10, 2024, I break down the technicals that are driving the three major currency pairs: EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD Today I give a bonus look at the NZDUSD as it is the biggest mover after the RBNZ rates unchanged but it was considered a more dovish unchanged decision. Technically, The

Ther GBPJPY continues to skim along the 100 hour MA The GBPJPY has been trending higer since mid-June. That move to the topside has been using the 100 and 200 hour MAs since mid-June as the roadmap or guiding light. When there were some dips below the 100 hour MA, either the 200 hour MA

The USDCHF price action today is setting up traders for the Fed chair testimony at 10 AM ET. On the topside, the 100-day moving average resistance. That level comes in at 0.89903. It would take a move above that level to increase the bullish bias through the Fed chair testimony. On the downside, the 100

The NZDUSD rallied toward the end of last week’s trading, after sellers had their shot on the break of both the 100/200 day MAs earlier in the week. The move higher initially extended to the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart, before correcting lower midweek. On Friday, buyers returned after the US jobs report