Technical Analysis

The 3 major US stock indices closed higher today and this week. The gains were led by the NASDAQ on both measures. A summary of the day shows: Dow Industrial Average rose 450.02 points or 1.18% at 38675.69 S&P index rose 63.61 points or 1.26% at 5127.80 NASDAQ index rose 315.37 points or 1.99% at

The S&P 500 has been consolidating around the 5000-5100 range for more than two weeks now with the market awaiting the key US data as it’s getting more and more wary of the inflation risk that could lead to more tightening. The more dovish than expected Fed’s decision and Powell’s press conference led to a

S&P index trades between 50 and 100 day MAs The S&P index is trading higher and near session highs. The current price is up 36 points at 5054.25. The high for the day reached 5058.01. That puts the price near the middle between key day MAs. On the downside, is the 100-day MA at 4979.26.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) earnings preview: I am looking at a possible 5% decline As Apple Inc. gears up to release its earnings after market close on May 2, 2024, all eyes are on the potential market reactions. Historically, Apple’s earnings have been a significant catalyst, but given the technical and options market data, there are

The USDJPY broke below the 100-day moving average and scooted all the way down to the 200-hour moving average at 155.98. The price moved below that moving average on its way to a low price of 155.793 before bouncing back to the upside. Recall from Monday’s trade after the intervention, the price also moved below

Crude Oil has been on a steady retreat as the Israel-Iran episode ended without a major escalation. The price is now approaching a key support zone around the $80 level where we can also find a long term trendline adding some extra confluence. This zone will be key as the buyers will likely step in

The price of copper is lower today with the price down -$0.11 to $4.565, but for the month the price rose 14% which represents the largest move since January 2021. The price of the front contract traded to the highest level since April 2022 today with a high at $4.6945, before rotating to the downside

USD The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting with basically no change to the statement. The Dot Plot still showed three rate cuts for 2024 and the economic projections were upgraded with growth and inflation higher and the unemployment rate lower. The US Q1 GDP surprisingly missed expectations although the

The EURUSD is trading back higher in what has been an up-and-down trading day. The low in the US session moved down to test the low from late Friday and early Asian trading. Buyers leaned. The subsequent bounce has taken the price back up to and through the 100-hour MA and 38.2% at 1.0709 and

USDJPY dipped on the BOJ rate decision but bounced near MAs The USDJPY has continued its march the upside with a run to a new session high. Earlier today, the Bank of Japan Policy was unchanged. The initial reaction was a run to the downside with the low price reaching 154.96. That took the price

The USD is moving to the upside, and in the process is shifting the technical bias more in the direction of the buyers. In this video I take a look at five of the major currency pairs including the EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, and USDCAD. EURUSD: The EURUSD is now below its 100 hour moving

The USDJPY continues to run to the upside with the currency pair now up 1.32% on the day. That is the largest increase since the end of October when the pair moved up 1.75%. It is Golden Week next week and markets are closed on Monday in Japan. The Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged.

The USDJPY has and continues to make new highs going back to 1990. GBPJPY trades at the highest level since 2008 Today, the GBPJPY joined the USDJPY in making a new multi-year high. For the GBPJPY, it traded to its highest level since September 2008 (highest level in 2008 or nearly 16 years). Looking at

The NZDUSD this week moved higher on Thursday and moved up to test the 50% midpoint of the April trading range at 0.59668, before backing off on the stronger US GDP and price data. The price retraced the entire move to the downside with momentum in the Asian session today. That follow-through upside move took

USD The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting with basically no change to the statement. The Dot Plot still showed three rate cuts for 2024 and the economic projections were upgraded with growth and inflation higher and the unemployment rate lower. The US Q1 GDP surprisingly missed expectations although the

The USDCAD has been trading up and down over the last few days of trading. The volatility intensified today with a move lower into retracement and swing area support, followed by a move higher into swing area resistance, followed by another move lower into the same retracement and swing area support as the initial move

USD The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting with basically no change to the statement. The Dot Plot still showed three rate cuts for 2024 and the economic projections were upgraded with growth and inflation higher and the unemployment rate lower. The US CPI beat expectations for the third consecutive

In the morning kickstart video, I spoke to the support near the 200 hour MA and the swing area, and if that level held, the need to get and stay above the 38.2% of the April trading range. Well those levels have defined the range in the US session (give or take a couple pips