UK GDP came in weaker than expected -0.1% for the month versus +0.1% estimate. Construction output, industrial production, manufacturing production was also weaker and the trade balance had a larger deficit. The declines sent the GBP lower but buyers came in near technical support targets and the price has since rebounded off lows. The EURUSD
Technical Analysis
The USDCAD moved higher today, extending to a new 4+ year high of 1.4243, surpassing levels last seen in April 2020. The next key target is 1.4264, the high from April 2020. A break above this level could pave the way for further upside momentum. Why Multi-Year Highs Matter When an asset trades at multi-year
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
The NZDUSD is trading at a new 2024 low today, reaching 0.5753, positioning the price near the midpoint of key swing lows from November 2022 and end of October 2023: 0.5739 (November 2022 low) 0.5772 (October 2023 low) A break below this support area would strengthen the bearish bias, encouraging traders to probe lower levels.
US yields are trading at fresh highs, with the 10-year yield up 7.0 basis points today to 4.395%. This marks a 24-basis-point gain for the week, the largest 1-week jump since mid-January 2024. The rising yields have fueled a strong rally in the USDJPY, which continues to track higher. Key Technical Levels and Price Action
GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Sellers Regain Control The GBPUSD started the week in a choppy trading range, with buyers repeatedly testing the 200-bar moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart. Over the first four days (and last Friday), the price briefly moved above this MA multiple times, but each attempt quickly failed. On Thursday, buyers gave
The EURUSD is ending the week lower after an up-and-down path to the downside. The move to the downside fell below a cluster of MAs with the 200 hour MA being the one that has put a lid on the pair on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and again on Friday. That ceiling increases the 200 hour
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs although it’s stronger against the commodity currencies. In the bigger picture, the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations, and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. In fact, despite lots of strong
The USDCAD moved higher in the Asian-Pacific session today and in the process got within 3 pips of the 2024 high at 1.4177 and the highest level going back to May 2020. Finding sellers against that level increases that level importance today and going forward. Getting above that level might be more difficult with the
The USD/CHF pair moved higher during the Asian-Pacific session, briefly breaking above a key swing area between 0.8794 and 0.87995 (rounded to 0.8800). The high of the day reached 0.88035 before reversing to the downside. The failure to sustain momentum above 0.8800 triggered a move lower, with the price retesting the 200-bar moving average on
The GBPUSD moved higher yesterday helped by the USD selling but once the price stretched to the 50% midpoint of the November trading range, the buyers started to shift to sellers and the price wandered lower into the close. That level comes in at 1.27669. The high price going back to mid-November was just above
Fundamental Overview Nothing has changed in terms of the fundamentals this week as the market awaits the US NFP and the US CPI data. The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out
Fundamental Overview The Russell 2000 has been underperforming the other major indices recently and failed to extend into new highs. The conditions for a strong rally into new all-time highs remain in place though. In fact, Trump’s policies will be a positive driver for growth in 2025 and with the Fed remaining in an easing
Fundamental Overview The S&P 500 managed to extend the rally into a new all-time high recently. The conditions for further upside in the index remain in place. In fact, Trump’s policies will be a positive driver for growth in 2025 and with the Fed remaining in an easing cycle, growth should remain positive and might
Fundamental Overview The Nasdaq managed to extend the rally into a new all-time high recently. The conditions for further upside in the index remain in place. In fact, Trump’s policies will be a positive driver for growth in 2025 and with the Fed remaining in an easing cycle, growth should remain positive and might even
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar continues to consolidate around the highs as the market reached the peak in the repricing of interest rates expectations and it will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts for 2025. This was signalled by the lack of US Dollar strength after lots of strong US data