Technical Analysis

The US yields are trading at new session lows. The two-year is trading at 3.598%. That’s the lowest level going back to March 2023. The 10 year yield is an 3.642%. That’s its lowest level going back to June 2023. The low in yields has the USDJPY also extending back toward session lows for the

The major US stock indices have seen a run lower over the last hour or so of trading. The move lower now has the Dow down around -400 points or 1%. It was up 134 points at session highs. The S&P is down -23.36 points or -0.42%. At highs the index was up 24.08 points

The AUDUSD moved lower on Friday helped by risk-off sentiment from the tumble in US stocks. In trading today, selling has continued after a rise in the early Asian session. The fall has taken the price of the AUDUSD to a key technical support level defined by three separate technical tools: The 38.2% retracement of

The NZDUSD continued its run to the downside in trading today after sharp declines on Friday helped by the risk-off sentiment on stock selling, and lower commodities. The down momentum continued today and carried the price down toward the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the August low to the August high. That level

The US jobs report was a bit weaker than expectations especially when you consider the -86,000 revision to the prior month’s. Nonfarm payroll rose by 142K lower than the 161K estimate but the unemployment rate did fall to 4.2% from 4.3%. The USD dollar had an up-and-down reaction sending the three major currency pairs to

Both the US and Canadian jobs report will released today. In the US, the market is breathing a little sigh of relief in that the numbers weren’t as weak as last month. The unemployment rate did tick down to 4.2% from 4.3%. In Canada, the unemployment rate moved higher 26.6% which was a highest level

The NASDAQ index is trading to a new session low and to the lowest level going back to August 12. The move to the downside is off of mixed/weaker US jobs report. The nonfarm payroll rose less than expectations (142K vs 160K estimate) with the prior months being revised lower by 86,000 as well. The

The USDCAD has moved to a new high and reach the next technical target at 1.35535 (see, mom months absent concepts and). THe price has not been above that moving average since August 7 nearly one month ago. A break above that level would have traders looking toward its 200-day moving average of 1.35880. Earlier

The USDJPY has seen up and down volatility after the US jobs report and subsequent market volatility. The tumble in US stocks and move lower in yields may have an influence as well as sellers pushed the price lower. Technically however, the low price today at 141.75, 10 apex of the low price from August

The NZDUSD has moved higher. It is now moving lower in volatile trading as it digests the US jobs report and comments from Fed officials this morning including Feds Waller, Feds Goolsby, and Feds Williams. Stocks are moving lower which is leading to some risk off in the NZDUSD as well. Technically, the pair is

Broadcom will announce earnings after the close. What is expected? EPS $1.22 Revenues $12.979 THe price of Broadcom – like other chip stocks – has been hit over the last few weeks of trading. From the high on August 22 and $172.42, the price has move down to a low of $149.15 reached just yesterday.

The Bank of Canada cut rates by 25 basis points yesterday, but despite that cut, the CAD strengthened vs the USD (USDCAD lower). The move lower in the USDCAD cracked below the 100-hour moving average currently at 1.35136, but could not sustain downside momentum to the 200-hour moving average at 1.34926. IN trading today, the

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The AUDUSD fell sharply yesterday breaking below a target support level near 0.6696. However, the break was short-term and the price reestablished support against the level before moving higher. The run higher extended back above its 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 0.67236, but ran into resistance sellers near a swing area between

The NZDUSD is trading to new lows as traders react today to risk-off sentiment as stocks/commodities slide. Concerns about growth in the US and CHna iare weighing on the pair. Recall from last week, the NZDUSD peaked on Thursday after a surprise ANZ Business confidence number (50.6 vs 27.1 estimate). However, since then the price

The USDCAD is moving higher as focus for that pair is on the fall in commodity prices including the price of oil and the risk-off flows due to tumbling stocks in the US. Technicals have also played a role in the USDCADs rise to the upside after earlier in the day, the price moved back

Fundamental Overview This week has been pretty boring all around as the lack of catalysts kept the price action confined in a tight range. The market is waiting for the key economic releases next week as we will get the ISM PMIs and lots of US labour market data including the NFP report. As a

Fundamental Overview Gold continues to trade in a tight range as the market awaits the key catalysts this week. As a reminder, the Fed is now very focused on the labour market as Fed Chair Powell said that they will not welcome any more weakness and will do everything they can to keep it strong.