Technical Analysis

The EURUSD moved higher before the results of the election started to trickle in. The price moved up to test the 100-day MA and the 38.2% of the move down from the September high. The price moved lower as results came in, first breaking below the 200-day MA at 1.08687 and then the 100-bar MA

The USDCAD is moving lower in sympathy with the overall US dollar weakness ahead of the election vote and results (at least some of them) later today. The move lower was also helped by the failure to keep the upside momentum going after breaking to a new high for the year (and going back to

The USDCHF is trading up and down in trading today as the pair buys time ahead of the election results. The low for the price action has found support buyers in a key swing area between 0.86078 and 0.8619. That area also held support on Monday. On the upside, the 100 bar moving average on

The EURUSD is continuing its move to the upside despite stronger services ISM nonmanufacturing data today. Employment moved higher as well. New orders were lower and prices paid was lower as well. Of course the election voting is ongoing with the results still hours aways starting with Georgia, one of the epicenters from 2020 election

The independent voters which account for 31% of the Georgia votes are leaning 54% to 43% for Trump. That was reverse from 2020 with Biden gaining from the independent voters.. Florida numbers are higher for Trump vs 2020 with 50% in and Trump leading 53.2% vs 45.9% in 2020. That was 51.2% to 47.9% in

The USDCAD moved down to test the target support at the end of the trading day yesterday at 1.3813. The low price reached 1.3817 and the price decline slowed. The pair has moved back higher on the back of the early success of the Trump team. The price has now moved up to the 200-hour

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

Fundamental Overview The US Dollar is higher across the board today as Trump got elected President of the US. The Republicans won the Senate, and they just need the House now to get a red sweep. That is the most bullish scenario for the greenback as it would make the tax cuts easier to pass

Fundamental Overview Gold is trading lower today as Trump got elected President of the US. The Republicans won the Senate, and they just need the House now to get a red sweep. That is the most bearish scenario for gold in the short-term as it would make the tax cuts easier to pass which should

The AUDUSD moved lower earlier this week, and in the process fell below its 100-day moving average at 0.66952. A corrective bounce higher on Tuesday saw sellers lean against that level. Going forward, that level is a key resistance target. The subsequent fall midweek took the price below its 200-day moving average at 0.6628. It

The EURUSD moved higher in the early US session and tested its 200-hour moving average currently at 1.08342. Although the price ticked above the MA line on a few hourly bars, the momentum stalled. The buyers turned to sellers, and the price has moved back to the 100-hour MA (blue line) at the 1.08056. The

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not

BOJ Ueda is on the wires saying: Optimism over U.S. economic outlook seems to be broadening somewhat We need to scrutinize further whether optimism over U.S. outlook is sustained BOJ still can afford to spend time scrutinising risks Recent yen falls driven partly by optimism over U.S. economic outlook When looking at fallout from weak

In the above video, I take a technical look at the USDCAD after the 50 bp cut yesterday. That move took the price higher and outside a key swing area, but could not sustain momentum. However, the decline today is trying to hold support at an earlier base level this week. That level will be

In the above video, I speak to the technicals that are driving the USDCHF in trading today. Below is a summary of those technicals. Market Overview The USD/CHF begins the day with a relatively narrow 21-pip trading range, significantly below its average monthly range of 53 pips (39% of normal). This subdued volatility makes it

Fundamental Overview The S&P 500 has been consolidating around the all-time high as the lack of catalysts and the pressure from rising Treasury yields kept the market at bay. We are now near the US elections and it’s going to be a major event for the market. A Trump victory will likely give the stock

Fundamental Overview The Nasdaq has been consolidating around the all-time high as the lack of catalysts and the pressure from rising Treasury yields kept the market at bay. We are now near the US elections and it’s going to be a major event for the market. A Trump victory will likely give the stock market

Fundamental Overview The lack of catalysts recently kept the US Dollar supported across the board despite the slowdown in momentum. The market might now be looking forward to the first weeks of November when we will get the key economic data, the FOMC decision and the US elections. There’s been also a good argument that