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Yen’s near term rebound gained momentum again today, supported by BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s persistent messaging about a potential rate hike at next week’s policy meeting. Ueda’s repeated remarks are interpreted as laying the groundwork for markets to brace for a monetary policy shift. While recent polls as of last week indicated only a minority
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Manufacturers sentiment index +2 in January -1 in December Index for non-manufacturers’ mood to +31 was +30 in December Both manufacturers, non-manufacturers see no change in April *** Japanese manufacturers’ sentiment improved in January, rising to +2 from December’s -1, driven by stronger conditions in materials industries like steel, oil, and chemicals. However, their outlook
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Dollar is holding steady against its peers in early U.S. trading, with softer-than-expected PPI report failing to trigger significant selling pressure. Market sentiment continues to shift toward the possibility that the Fed might refrain from additional rate cuts in 2025. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in less than 60% probability of a 25bps rate
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Why it’s important? The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market’s reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on
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Speculation surrounding the incoming US administration’s tariff strategy continues to rattle global markets. Reports suggest that President-elect Donald Trump’s economic team is exploring a phased approach to tariffs, gradually increasing rates by 2% to 5% per month. This tactic, if adopted, would utilize executive powers under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to maximize negotiation
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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not
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The dollar is once again keeping firmer in trading today, mostly advancing against the euro and pound. It is down against the yen but keeping steadier across the board elsewhere. GBP/USD is the biggest loser, down 0.7% to 1.2120 levels at the moment. The pair is continuing to stay poised in chasing further downside with
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