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Worries of stagflation intensified a whole lot last week. In particular, even the habitually cautious ECB pre-committed to rate hikes in July and September, while delivering new economic forecasts with sharply higher inflation and lower growth projections. Selloff in risk markets accelerated further after US CPI re-accelerated to new 40-year high. The hope of inflation
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Prior report +15.3 K (that was lower than 55.0K estimate) Employment change 39.8K vs 30K estimate unemployment rate 5.1%% vs. 5.2% estimate. The unemployment rate is a new record full-time employment 135.4K vs. -31.6 K last month Part time employment -95.8K vs 47.1 K last month participation rate 65.3% vs 65.3% last month total hours
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Euro’s post ECB rally was very short-lived, while market turned into risk-off mode later in US session. Negative sentiment continues in Asia today as US consumer inflation data is awaited. So far, Sterling is the strongest one for the week followed by Dollar, and then Canadian. Yen is the overwhelming loser, extending recent down trend
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Gold prices in the national capital on Thursday gained by Rs 133 to Rs 50,907 per 10 grams, supported by rupee depreciation, according to Securities. In the previous trade, the yellow metal settled at Rs 50,774 per 10 grams. Silver also jumped by Rs 273 to Rs 61,535 per kg from Rs 61,262 per kg
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Euro is attempting to rally after ECB surprisingly pre-commit to rate hikes in July and September. Germany 10-year yield also jumps to 1.45% in reaction. Commodity currencies turn slightly weaker on overall sluggish market sentiment. Dollar is mixed for now, and will need some fresh inspiration from tomorrow’s CPI release. Meanwhile, Yen continues to digest
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June 9: Gold inched lower on Thursday, with prices restrained by rising Treasury yields ahead of key U.S. jobs and inflation data this week. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,852.21 per ounce, as of 0052 GMT, while U.S. gold futures also eased 0.1% to $1,853.90. * Benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields firmed
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Yen is recovering slightly in Asian session today, digesting recent steep selloff. The climax selling is temporarily past as focuses turn to ECB policy decision today and US CPI tomorrow. Euro is trading mixed for the moment, except versus Yen and Swiss Franc. To be specific, it’s range bound against Dollar, Sterling, Aussie and Canadian.
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Deutsche Bank on the possibility of intervention in USD/JPY “As USD/JPY hits the weakest yen levels in 20 years, there is a resurgence of interest in where officialdom, Japanese and/or American, might protest the yen’s depreciation?” DB notes. ‘The short answer is the official pain threshold to provoke direct currency intervention is still a long
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Brent Crude has continued to surge with a huge spike seen during February-March 2022, mainly led by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Since then, Brent Crude has broadly been consolidating between $116-95. On the monthly timeframe, we have observed Fibonacci Extension from the October 2018 peak to the March 2020 lows. Critical resistance for the commodity is
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The main focus remains on Yen’s selloff today, on the back of widening yield spread between Japan JGB and other major benchmark treasuries. Meanwhile, Euro appears to be strengthening in general too. Traders are probably buying up the Euro in anticipation on a hawkish ECB policy decision and press conference tomorrow. The central should without
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