FX

Analysts at ABN Amro share an update to their Federal Reserve (Fed) policy outlook following the latest inflation data. Total of three 25bp cuts expected in 2024 “We now expect the Fed to start cutting rates in July (previously June), with a pause in September, and a total of three 25bp cuts expected in 2024
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The European Central Bank will likely maintain rates on hold once again. ECB President Christine Lagarde could change its cautious tone and hint at an upcoming rate cut.   US CPI was hotter than anticipated in March, triggering risk aversion. EUR/USD bearish case gains momentum as the pair stands below 1.0800. The European Central Bank (ECB)
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The Mexican Peso has resumed its uptrend despite cooler-than-expected inflation data for March.  The slowdown in price pressures was not substantial enough to change the overall outlook for monetary policy.  Interest rates, a key FX driver, are likely to remain elevated in Mexico, supporting the Peso going forward.   The Mexican Peso (MXN) is trading higher
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The Mexican Peso continues rising to almost nine-year highs against the US Dollar (USD).  Mexican inflation data for March is scheduled for release on Tuesday and could cause volatility for the Peso.  A higher-than-expected reading would indicate interest rates remaining elevated, increasing demand for MXN.  The Mexican Peso (MXN) is trading at eight almost nine-year
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Mexican Peso strengthens against US Dollar, with USD/MXN dropping to 16.48 in reaction to upbeat US labor market figures. Despite a robust US jobs report, increased risk appetite drives equity gains, a tailwind for the Mexican currency. Fed officials maintain a cautious stance on rate adjustments, influencing market expectations for future monetary policy direction. The
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“I believe it’s much too soon to think about cutting interest rates,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said on Friday, citing upside risks to inflation. Key takeaways “Need to see more of the uncertainty resolved about which economic path we’re on.” “Increasingly concerned about upside risk to the inflation outlook.” “FOMC should
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A robust US Nonfarm Payrolls report for March propels the Greenback higher, impacting the EUR/USD. The Eurozone’s mixed economic indicators, including Germany’s Factory Orders and Retail Sales, contrast with the strong US employment landscape. Further downside seen at EUR/USD as technical suggests potential for declines below the 1.0800 threshold. The Euro registers minimal losses of
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Mexican Peso is slightly up versus the US Dollar on cautious trading as Consumer Confidence deteriorates. Decrease in Mexico’s Consumer Confidence and Manufacturing PMI slowdown highlight challenges amid Banxico’s rate adjustments. Remittances remain a key support for the Peso, overshadowing near-shoring gains amid broader economic considerations. The Mexican Peso prints minuscule gains against the US
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