Crude oil’s winning streak in jeopardy of ending as prices tumble below moving averages

Technical Analysis

Crude oil is on pace to break it seven day win streak

Crude oil prices today marked a new high for February, reaching $78.74, which exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward move from the September peak at $78.15 (see chart above). This surge represented a significant bullish momentum for the commodity and was a positive tilt for the technical bias.

However, following this peak, prices experienced a reversal – retracing the gains. The pair is now trading just slightly above the $77 threshold. The current price stands at $77.10, having touched a low of $77.04. This decline brought the price beneath both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are currently at $77.66 and $77.51, respectively. Staying below these averages could signal increased control by sellers in the market.

It’s important to note that prior to this reversal, crude oil had enjoyed a continuous upward trend for seven days. This bullish phase began from a low of $71.43 on February 5th. The price had ascended by 10.23% to the high reached today before commencing its corrective pullback.

The 100/200 day MAs is now risk for sellers. Staying below is more bearish.

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