In the last five hours, US 10-year yields have swung nearly 10 basis points higher. It’s an ugly turn in fixed income after a strong start and was driven by a handful of factors:
- The two-year note auction tailed by a full basis point despite a decent concession shortly before
- The selling continued after the 2-year sale but even with that, 5s also tailed by exactly 1 basis point
- US consumer confidence improved, adding to fears that the demand side of the economy could add to inflation pressures
- WTI crude oil prices are up $2.13 to $79.86 in a sign of a market that’s surprisingly confident about OPEC will do
The dollar and equities have largely ignored the fixed income move but I’m not sure if that’s a sign of complacency or a market that thinks these moves are all about month-end flows and not fundamentals.
However you slice it, US 10s are now 22 basis points above the post-CPI low and threatening to crack the mid-March high of 4.534%.
US 10-year yields, daily
This article was originally published by Forexlive.com. Read the original article here.