Economists at Credit Suisse no longer see a compelling reason for USDCAD to reach their 1.4100 target in Q4: they now lower it to 1.3500 and reset their target range from 1.3250-1.4300 to 1.3000-1.3650 for the remainder of the quarter.

CAD is vulnerable to deteriorating global growth outlook

“We now see fewer compelling reasons for USDCAD to reach our 1.4100 target in Q4 compared to at the time of our Q4 outlook, other than via a broad USD rally that takes all USD-crosses higher. The risks of disappointing hopeful expectations, which underpins our still bearish view on AUD, are simply less asymmetric in CAD.”

“We lower our end-Q4 USDCAD target from 1.4100 to 1.3500 and reset our target range for the pair from 1.3250-1.4300 to 1.3000-1.3650 for the remainder of the quarter. This leaves us with a minor pro-USD bias, as we continue to see CAD as vulnerable to deteriorating global growth outlook.”