Goldman Sachs is forecasting Friday’s nonfarm payroll at +250K, & jobless rate at 3.6%

News

NFP due at 1230 GMT on Friday, 8 July 2022

This
snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar,
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it here
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  • The
    times in the left-most column are GMT.
  • The
    numbers in the right-most column are the ‘prior’ (previous month)
    result. The number in the column next to that, where is a number, is
    the consensus median expected.

Via Goldman Sachs:

  • We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 250k in June
  • We estimate an unchanged unemployment rate at 3.6%—in line with consensus—reflecting a solid rise in household employment offset by a 0.1pp rise in labor force participation to 62.4%.
  • employment surveys and big data employment indicators generally weakened in the month
  • the Challenger report showed an increase in job cuts—particularly in real estate, autos, and media
  • We estimate an unchanged unemployment rate at 3.6%—in line with consensus—reflecting a solid rise in household employment offset by a 0.1pp rise in labor force participation to 62.4%.

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