ADP national employment data for February shows a gain 475K versus 388K estimate

News
  • Prior month -301K revised to +509K
  • ADP national employment rises by 475K vs 388K estimate. The nonfarm payroll estimate to be released on Friday is expected to show a gain of 440 K
  • Goods +57K
  • Services +417 K
  • Small businesses (less than 50 employees) -96K
  • Medium (50 – 499 employees) +18K
  • Large (>499 employees) +552K

If the numbers don’t fit, fix it. That is what the large revision is showing. Recall that last month the NFP report showed a gain of 467K. The revision this month moved from -301K to +509K puts the data more in line with the BLS data.

There is little change in the markets on the data.

  • Dow is up 170 points
  •  NASDAQ  is trading up 47 points
  • S&P is trading up 18 points
  • WTI crude oil futures are trading up $8.50 at $111.25 as OPEC+ kept the production increases at +400 K

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