Forex news for Asia trading on
Monday
5
July 2021
Yet
again we await developments from OPEC+ as last week’s Thursday
meeting stretches into Monday. If you have missed developments an
agreement to increase production (by 400K barrels a month from August
to December inclusive) is being blocked by objections from the UAE
(the country wants a greater allocation of output). Negotiations will
continue today (Monday) (see bullets above for more). Expectations of
the outcome span a wide spectrum from those seeing a deal along the
lines of the +400K barrels/month proposal eventually being agreed, to
a fall-back position of the current agreement remaining in place, to
more extreme outcomes such as the UAE leaving the cartel, perhaps
with others, to complete dissolution of OPEC (a really extreme
outcome). Oil prices are more or less treading water awaiting today’s
outcome.
On
the forex front its been a day of tight ranges across major FX. In
general the USD has recovered just a little of its Friday post-NFP
loss but the extent of moves is tiny.
The
news front was fairly quiet but we did get a barrage of data from
Australia, New Zealand, Japan and China. See the bullets above for
the details, and of course given the ranges the impact was barely
noticeable.
US
markets will be closed Monday for the (observance) Independence
Day holiday.
Bitcoin with a drop during the Asian morning Monday: